One of essentially the most lopsided matchups of the season kicks off on “Thursday Night Football” between the undefeated Eagles and one-win Texans in a sport that solely a bettor might love.
Philly is dealing as a 13.5-point favourite at BetMGM, tied for the most important unfold by a street favourite this season and simply shy of the biggest quantity by any crew all yr. It appears like a near-certainty that the Eagles will emerge victorious on this one – however by how a lot?
Here’s how we’re betting Thursday’s contest, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
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Texans vs. Eagles odds (by way of BetMGM)
- Eagles -13.5 (-115), moneyline -750
- Texans +13.5 (-105), moneyline +525
- O/U 45.5 (-110)
Texans vs. Eagles prediction and evaluation
What occurs when one of the best crew in soccer faces off towards the worst? There actually isn’t a lot to say about this matchup that may’t be summed up so plainly, as Philadelphia is clearly the superior crew throughout the board on Thursday.
Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is dealing because the second alternative within the MVP market (+350) via the primary eight weeks of the season; Texans starter Davis Mills has the second-worst QBR (31.6) amongst certified starters. Philadelphia ranks second in DVOA and web yards per play; Houston ranks lifeless final in each marks and close to the underside of the league in almost each scoring and yardage metric.
So, barring a miracle, the higher crew will win right here. But how do you pretty value out such a large hole? The market appears to have settled round a two-touchdown margin, which has seen blended outcomes this season: the Bills (-14) gained by 35 factors of their Week 5 conflict with the Steelers, however the Buccaneers (-13.5) misplaced outright in a 21-3 defeat to the rival Panthers in Week 7.
It’s been an identical story over the past decade concerning two-touchdown favorites, who’ve sported a largely breakeven report lately. We’ve hardly ever seen such a niche between two groups this late within the season, although, which bodes properly for the street favorites.
Since 1989, we’ve seen a complete of 14 undefeated groups face a crew with one win or fewer in Week 7 or later. Those undefeated groups went 8-6 towards the unfold, together with an ideal 4-0 report up to now decade. Most notably, these groups outscored their lowly opponents by a median of 15.8 factors, with a whopping 10 of 14 favorites (71.4%) profitable by no less than 14 factors.
Betting on the NFL?
Only two of these six groups to endure an ATS loss had been favored by fewer than 13.5 factors, whereas two others had been favored by 17 and 22 factors, respectively. That means that, primarily based on previous outcomes, Philly could even be undervalued right here as an undefeated favourite towards simply the worst crew within the league. If Hurts and Co. can construct an early lead, this one ought to get ugly in a rush.
Texans vs. Eagles choose
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