Oddsmakers disagree on high-stakes Alabama-Ole Miss showdown

LAS VEGAS — Not way back, these two guys stalked the identical sideline, shared massive wins and reached the highest of the game collectively. Now, within the greatest sport of the week, they are going to be on reverse sidelines.

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Earlier than the NFL’s Sunday cleaning soap opera, Nick Saban and Lane Kiffin will butt heads Saturday in a high-stakes school soccer reunion in Tuscaloosa, the place top-ranked Alabama is a double-digit favourite towards Mississippi. A Southeastern Convention title and Heisman Trophy may very well be on the road.

Oddsmakers and sharp bettors spent Sunday disagreeing on what the purpose unfold must be after Circa Sports activities bookmaker Matt Metcalf opened Alabama as a 20-point favourite. All the motion rolled in on Mississippi within the first few hours to drive the road to 14.5.

“I have Bama rated too high evidently,” Metcalf stated. “I don’t think my Ole Miss number is wrong.”

The Crimson Tide usually attracts overwhelming betting help, however this week’s present of respect for the Rebels is a twist within the storyline.

Nick Saban
Nick Saban

In 2015, when Saban coached Alabama to the nationwide championship, Kiffin was his offensive coordinator. In 2020, Kiffin’s first 12 months as Mississippi coach, the groups met in Oxford, Miss., for an offensive shootout. The rating was tied at 42 early within the fourth quarter earlier than the Tide busted unfastened to win 63-48 as 23-point favorites.

Rebels quarterback Matt Corral accomplished 21 of 28 passes for 365 yards and two touchdowns but was outdueled by former Tide quarterback Mac Jones, who went on to be the Patriots’ first-round draft choose and is getting set for a duel with Brady.

Corral is coming again for extra. Mississippi (3-0) is scoring 52.7 factors per sport after blowouts of Louisville, Austin Peay and Tulane. The Alabama protection is a special animal, after all.

“I tend to think Ole Miss can trade points in this game,” The Gold Sheet handicapper Bruce Marshall stated. “I’m not sure this Alabama team is at the level it was last year.”

The betting public appears more likely to play Over the overall of 77.5, contemplating final 12 months’s sport produced 111 factors and 1,370 whole yards. Choosing a aspect is a harder choice, however the sharps have been fast to tug the set off on the Rebels at an inflated quantity. Metcalf stated the excessive whole means there may be extra grey space or wiggle room within the level unfold.

“I had 18 but liked how the 20 looked on the board,” Metcalf stated.

South Level sportsbook director Chris Andrews, who opened the Tide as 22-point favorites towards Mississippi in the summertime, stated the Rebels are higher than he anticipated. Additionally, Alabama’s air of invincibility was misplaced in its 31-29 win at Florida on Sept. 18.

“My number would be right around 17,” Andrews stated. “I have raised Mississippi’s rating a little bit. I thought this would be one of the best Alabama defenses of all time, but they have not played like that. At some point the coaching will kick in, and that always happens with Saban, but it has not happened yet.”

A transparent Heisman favourite is about to emerge. Will it’s Corral or Alabama quarterback Bryce Younger? BetMGM lists Corral and Younger as 2/1 co-favorites, however issues are about to alter.

Corral has handed for 997 yards and 9 touchdowns with out an interception whereas dashing for 158 yards and 5 scores. Younger has handed for 1,124 yards and 15 touchdowns with one interception whereas main the Tide (4-0) to victories over Miami, Mercer, Florida and Southern Mississippi.

Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler, the preseason Heisman favourite, has light to twenty/1 after underperforming within the first month. No different contenders have stepped up, leaving Corral and Younger to duel it out.

The School Soccer Playoff race is as wide-open as ever with Clemson and Ohio State taking early losses. The door is swinging open for Cincinnati to be the primary Group of 5 staff to succeed in the playoff, setting the stage for one more key sport this weekend.

The Bearcats, 2.5-point favorites at Notre Dame, should beat the Preventing Irish earlier than operating the desk within the American Athletic Convention to have any playoff shot. For the reason that inception of the four-team playoff on the finish of the 2014 season, 20 of the 28 playoff spots have gone to 4 Energy 5 groups — Alabama (six), Clemson (six), Ohio State (4) and Oklahoma (4) — and the one different staff with a number of appearances is Notre Dame (two).

It’s not Brady-Belichick sort of hype, however the first Saturday in October might be dramatic on the school degree. Rather a lot is on the road for Cincinnati and Mississippi.

The Rebels seem like for actual and is perhaps robust sufficient to “Corral” the Crimson Tide. The successful quarterback within the sport will take the lead within the Heisman hunt.

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